After the much more dovish than expected Fed economic projections and shockingly poor Eurozone manufacturing data, it looks like major world economies are at the brink recessions. German 10-year bund yield turned negative for the first time since 2016, and it was as high as 0.12 during the week. US yield curve between 3-month and…
Downside growth risk assessment expected… After the ECB decided to end net asset purchases in December 2018, new policy signals are not warranted at next week’s meeting in our view. Instead, the hotly debated growth risk assessment is set to take centre stage. At the previous meeting, the ECB coined the growth risk assessment as…
Risk sentiments continued to recover last week as Fed officials indicated they would be patient before making the next rate move. Positive developments of US-China trade talks also helped. One notable development was the rebound in US treasury yields as 10-year yield reclaimed 2.7 while 30-year yield is back above 3.0. Japan 10-year JGB yield…
We would like to bring your attention to the Brexit vote taking place on 11th December, which is critical for the future of the UK, the economy, and the Pound Sterling. The UK House of Commons has begun its lengthy debate on the Brexit agreement that Prime Minister Theresa May reached with the European Union.…
Dollar Higher but Trump-Xi Meeting is a Wild Card Last week with multiple theme happening at the same time. Swiss Franc ended as the strongest on risk aversion. Oil’s free fall could be that extra lift the the Franc. Dollar ended as the second strongest, but that’s mainly due to relatively smaller problems in the…
The markets were driven by multiple themes last week. Dollar ended up broadly higher as supported by hawkish FOMC minutes and rebound in treasury yields. However, it’s outshone by New Zealand and then Australian Dollar. Kiwi was boosted by stronger than expected CPI. Meanwhile, the Aussie was pulled up by iron ore prices, which countered…
The last week of August was unusually volatile and eventful. It’s a week to remember yet it’s hard to remember all the details. Almost every major currency got its own stories. Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen ended as the first and third strongest ones on risk aversions. And apparently, there were more problems in Europe…
Much volatility was seen in the markets last week with a lot of themes developed. Canadian Dollar ended as the strongest one as strong data boosted chance of August BoC hike. Swiss Franc followed as the second strongest on risk aversion in Europe. Dollar was original set to perform better as trade tension escalated again.…
While trade tension between the US and its allies dominated the headlines last week, Euro emerged as the strongest major currency. Receding Eurozone internal political risks was a key factor. German 10 year bund yield hit as high as 0.52, comparing to 0.186 low just two weeks ago, before closing at 0.45. Expectation of a…
It was a roller coaster week with political turmoil in Italy dominated the first half of the week. The formation of the populist Italian government after acceptance by President Sergio Mattarella marked the end of the episode. Trade war then took over as US President Donald Trump decided to let the temporary exemptions of Canada,…
