China’s Monetary Policy Outlook in 2019 – Easing While Refusing to Admit So Ongoing trade war with the US is accelerating the slowdown in growth in China. As such, the monetary policy adopted by PBOC would continue to be accommodative. Echoing the rhetoric of the annual Central Economic Work Conference, PBOC affirmed that its policy…
It was only a few weeks ago that there was nearly a universal agreement among analysts that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) would hike rates at its December 19 monetary policy meeting. But softer-than-expected data in recent weeks and volatility in financial markets led some analysts to expect that the FOMC might refrain from…
Sterling and Brexit was the center of focus during the early part of last week. The parliament vote on Brexit was postponed to at least January. UK Prime Minister Theresa May survived leadership challenge but her position is shaky with more than one-third of her MPS voted against her. The visit to EU was seen…
Trump sees ‘good possibility that a deal can be made It’s finally crunch time for Donald Trump and Xi Jinping as they face off at the dinner scheduled for Saturday evening after the G20 gathering. While signals from Trump have been mixed over the past week, the latest message before he left for Buenos Aires…
Dollar Higher but Trump-Xi Meeting is a Wild Card Last week with multiple theme happening at the same time. Swiss Franc ended as the strongest on risk aversion. Oil’s free fall could be that extra lift the the Franc. Dollar ended as the second strongest, but that’s mainly due to relatively smaller problems in the…
Growth is Solid, Inflation is Benign, Why Worry? It was another volatile week in financial markets as fears around slowing global growth were exacerbated by worries over Brexit. This, as the cabinet minister in charge of negotiating a Brexit deal with the European Union resigned over the direction of the proposed deal. The S&P 500…
Global stock market rout intensified last week with major indices ended in deep red. Over the week, Nikkei was the worst performing one and lost -5.98%. S&P 500 was the worst one in the US and dropped -3.94%. NASDAQ closed down -3.78%, DOW down -2.97%. In Europe, DAX was the worst, closing the week down…
The markets were driven by multiple themes last week. Dollar ended up broadly higher as supported by hawkish FOMC minutes and rebound in treasury yields. However, it’s outshone by New Zealand and then Australian Dollar. Kiwi was boosted by stronger than expected CPI. Meanwhile, the Aussie was pulled up by iron ore prices, which countered…
The headline story this week has been the downturn in global equity markets. The S&P500 has fallen about 6% this past week, the biggest five-day loss since February. A bond market rout was the cause then, and it was behind the move in recent days too, as equities re-price to reflect the higher yield environment.…
Dollar Surged on Treasury Yields and Bets on Fed Hikes, Except Versus Sterling It’s another week’s that’s full of headlines. Sterling ended as the strongest one on revised hope of a Brexit deal with the EU despite all the rhetorics. UK Prime Minister Theresa May also survived the Conservative Party conference without dance but no…
